System Dynamics Modeling Of Socioeconomic Development Mode Associated With Water Usage In Baiyangdian Lake, Northern China

Authors

  • JIE ZHU Beijing Normal University
  • XUAN WANG Beijing Normal University
  • QUAN CUI Beijing Normal University
  • GUAN NAN CUI Beijing Normal University

Abstract

With continual increase of environmental pressure from human activities, it has become necessary to study the process of socioeconomic water usage influencing the water quality. Based on the system dynamic model developed before to display the whole related flowing processes and the integrated influencing mechanisms of socioeconomic water usage influencing total phosphorus (TP) and total nitrogen (TN), we set 4 types of different socioeconomic development modes (i.e., type of continual status, type of economic development, type of water quality protection, and type of integrated harmonious development) to dynamically simulate and analyze the impact of socioeconomic and ecological water system on TP and TN. Moreover, it indicated that the type of integrated harmonious development was relatively more conducive to balance the water quality condition and economic development, compared to other three modes. Thus, the research could provide a reference to the water resources planning and management, as well as the eutrophication control.

Author Biographies

JIE ZHU, Beijing Normal University

State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University;Key Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences of Ministry of Education, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University

XUAN WANG, Beijing Normal University

State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University;Key Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences of Ministry of Education, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University

QUAN CUI, Beijing Normal University

State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University;Key Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences of Ministry of Education, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University

GUAN NAN CUI, Beijing Normal University

State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University;Key Laboratory for Water and Sediment Sciences of Ministry of Education, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University

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Published

2014-08-04

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Section

Environmental Modeling, Risk Assessment and Decision Making (EMR)